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Prediction desk

Runs the match model, compares it against the book, and only opens a position when the edge clears your own margin.

Author
srgwdd
Version
v1.1.0
Updated
2026-08-16
Steps
3
Gates
2
01Sequence3 steps / 2 gates
  1. 1
    binance-sports-ai-analyzerPrediction

    Read the model probability and news insight for the fixture.

    continue if the model returns a probability with a confidence band

    otherwise Report that the fixture is not covered and stop.

  2. 2
    binance-agentic-walletWalletauth

    Read the prediction market book for the same fixture.

    continue if model edge over the book is above the configured margin

    otherwise Report no edge and stop.

  3. 3
    binance-agentic-walletWalletauth

    Place the prediction at the configured stake, inside the daily limit.

    no gate on this step

02Rules
  • Stake sizing is fixed in config. The build never scales a position on conviction.
03Triggerswhat makes the agent reach for this file
match predictionis there value on this gameprediction market edge
04The file49 lines
SKILL.md
---
name: prediction-desk
description: >-
  Runs the match model, compares it against the book, and only opens a position when the edge clears your own margin.
  Trigger on: match prediction, is there value on this game, prediction market edge.
---

# Prediction desk

## PREREQUISITE

Install and authenticate these skills first:

- `binance-sports-ai-analyzer`
- `binance-agentic-wallet`

If any of them is missing, say which one and stop. Do not improvise a replacement.

## SEQUENCE

### Step 1. `binance-sports-ai-analyzer`

Read the model probability and news insight for the fixture.

**Continue only if** the model returns a probability with a confidence band.

**Otherwise:** Report that the fixture is not covered and stop.

### Step 2. `binance-agentic-wallet`

Read the prediction market book for the same fixture.

**Continue only if** model edge over the book is above the configured margin.

**Otherwise:** Report no edge and stop.

### Step 3. `binance-agentic-wallet`

Place the prediction at the configured stake, inside the daily limit.

## RULES

- Stake sizing is fixed in config. The build never scales a position on conviction.

## OUTPUT

Report each step that ran, the gate result, and the step that stopped the sequence if one did.
Never report a step as done when its skill returned an error.
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